Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Multiply Your Odds of Winning: Play Early and Often

This rolls up in to one of the big themes here:  "Don't get discouraged."  Winning prizes is all about perseverence.

The great thing about Win.ly is that it can really cut down on the time this would otherwise require.  But you still have to keep at it.  Games that give prizes to nearly everyone who play do come along from time to time, but they're not the norm.

Take an example of a highly rated game on Win.ly and let's pretend we know the exact odds of winning.  In this case, let's say it's one in one hundred odds.

This would rate as a "green ball on fire" on Win.ly so you'd certainly be seeing it towards the top of the list and be interested in playing it.

So let's start with player one, who gives it a try, doesn't win and just marks it as a "dislike" and never comes back.

Now let's compare to player two, who notices that you're allowed to play every day and so, comes back every day for the full two months of the game.

These are the odds that the two players have enjoyed:
  • Player one?  One in one hundred chance of winning, or about 1%.
  • Player two?  Better than one in two chance of winning, or about 62%.
Quite a difference.  Player two will more likely win a prize than not win one, where player one would have to get really lucky.

So keep it up.  And remember, it's not work, it's fun.  Once you start winning prizes it's exciting and addicting.  And Win.ly allows you to not have to invest hours a day.  But don't get fed up too early, give it a chance to work for you.

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Site Refresh. You like?

We gave the site a little refresh.  In a word, everything is a bit bigger.

Bigger fonts, bigger buttons.  It's all much more easy on the eyes and feels a bit lighter and easier.

Let us know what you think. 

Win.ly prize directory

Saturday, September 25, 2010

Want to win an iPad? An iPod? A Cruise?

We just updated our search to also include the entire rules of all live games.

So now you can search on specific prizes (gift cards?   iPads?  iPods? Cash?  Cars?  Trucks).  This is a pretty powerful way to pick the games you want to play.

And combine with a full membership and you can cross reference to see what your odds of winning are.

Try it out and see if you win the prize you want.

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Thought for the Day: There's a lot of prizes out there waiting for someone to win them

"Win.ly is currently rating 310,073 prizes worth $11,115,712.00"

That's the banner across Win.ly today. That's not just an estimate either, it's calculated exactly each time you load the page.

Think about it, most of these games run for about two months. 

So over the next two months, almost a third of a million people are going to win prizes worth over $35 on average.

The prizes are out there.  Get out there and win some.  If you haven't won yet, prepare yourself for a thrill you could really get used to.

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

What's the Single Best Tip for Winning Prizes Online?

Whether you're a hobbyist who enjoys playing online sweepstakes and instant wins for the thrill of winning prizes, or simply a casually interested internet user looking for a fun diversion for a few minutes a day, winning prizes is fun and it's why we do it.  Filling out registration forms and seeing "Sorry, try again tomorrow" is not fun, that's the "other" part that we put up with while waiting for the next "Congratulations!  You're a winner".

So it would seem that we all want to spend less time with the "try again" and more time seeing "You've won!".  But how can you do that?


Recently we examined the difference between two very different games to show how much more often you'll win playing a game that has high odds vs. playing a game that has bad odds.

Let's take that a step further and pick five games at random vs five games from the top of the Win.ly rating.

Of course, Win.ly doesn't know the exact odds of winning (nor does it need to) it just knows close enough.  For example, if you join a church raffle in the morning and then go to a sporting event and drop your name in a box for a prize there, you know you're competing against a few hundred people for the church raffle and tens of thousands for the sporting event.  You don't know the exact odds of winning, but you know the church raffle has hundreds of times better odds.

So, taking a rough estimate of the top five Win.ly rated games, you have about one in twenty chance of winning a prize at the top rated game down to about a one in 200 at the fifth.  That means for every twenty times you play the first game, you'll most likely win a prize and for every 200 times you play the fifth game, you'll most likely win a prize

Taking all five together, it comes to an average of 1 in 100 of winning a prize on each.

Assume you play each game each day, so that's 5 plays a day.  If you do this for 20 days the odds say you will have won a prize by then.  That's less than three weeks!

Taking the five random games we picked, the average of winning is about 1 in 23,000 on each.  Doing the same math, you would need 4,600 days or just over 12 years to win a prize.

So how do you make sure you're playing the games with the good odds so you'll win?

We know of only two ways.  Join a traditional sweepstakes directory and spend hours each day playing a huge number of games hoping to get a prize.  This works for many people, but is very time consuming.

Or join Win.ly and start at the game with the best odds of winning prizes and work your way down.  You'll hit all the best games and most likey win as many prizes, for just a few minutes a day.

A few much more pleasant minutes.

Give it a try.  It works.  Play the top five or ten Win.ly rated games each day for a month and we'd be amazed if you're not hooked on the thrill of winning prizes

Thursday, September 9, 2010

Anatomy of a high ranking sweepstakes (and a low one)

Looking at two promotions on either end of the Win.ly Rating Engine scale gives good insight into the advantages that the automated ratings give.

First let's look at the Sobe "Heads or Tails" instant win, which is currently at the top of the rating list by a wide margin.  Actually one of the highest ratings in the history of the engine.  [The engine has been running since the summer of 2009]

What are the key factors?

First of all: number of prizes.  Wow!  Over 490,000 prizes worth just short of $2 million in total.  (And that's not even counting the BOGO coupons).

Second: duration.  Only three months.  That's over 16,000 prizes given away every day.

Third: traffic.  Although the site has moderately high traffic estimates, it isn't high enough to effectively diminish the odds.  So there are relatively few people competing each day for those 16,000 prizes.

That's a recipe for a really good chance to win prizes.

Now compare this to "Game Z" [name withheld for politeness] with one of the worst ratings on the list.

This is a sweepstakes for one prize.

It runs for nearly eight months.  Average prizes per day?  Less than .005 (that's "five one thousandths").

And it lives on a site that is getting HUMONGOUS amounts of traffic.

Rough estimate of traffic is about 20 times more than what we are seeing with Sobe Heads or Tails.

Simplifying quite a bit for a rough estimate, you have (approximately) one twentieth the number of people competing for 3.2 million times more prizes (on average per day).  So that's (shockingly) 64 million times better chance of winning a prize on Sobe Heads or Tails.

Yes, you read that right.  64 million times better chance of winning a prize.

This, my friends, is the value of Win.ly.  Are you wasting your time on "Game Z"?